The Short Version
For a high-income California seller, long-term gain on farmland can face a combined rate of roughly 37%: up to 20% federal capital gains, 3.8% net investment income tax, and up to 13.3% California tax, with depreciation recaptured at up to 25% federally on top. Escrow also holds back 3 1/3% of the gross price for the state. The estimator below runs those rules on your numbers, then shows the same land two other ways: exchanged under section 1031, or held until it passes with a stepped-up basis. The spread between the columns is usually the most important number a family sees all year.
Our $28M case study walks one hypothetical family through this math in detail. This page lets you run it on your own ground. Three inputs come off documents you already have: the price you expect, what you have into the property, and the depreciation your returns have claimed over the years. Everything else is arithmetic and statute.
Estimate your net from an outright sale
Top-bracket assumptions on purpose: sales at this scale usually land there, and it is better to be surprised in your favor. Your CPA's calculation controls.
What you paid plus improvements, minus depreciation. Long-held family ground is often shockingly low.
Trees, vines, irrigation, structures. From your depreciation schedules.
Commissions, escrow, title. Optional.
Sell outright
estimated tax paid now. Clean break, full liquidity, and the largest tax bill of the three paths.
1031 exchange
of tax deferred, not eliminated: the gain carries into the replacement property, and California tracks it on Form 3840. Strict deadlines apply; see the 1031 guide.
Hold until it passes
of built-in tax that a stepped-up basis at death can effectively erase under current law. Holding has its own costs and risks; see the basis rules and Keeping the Farm.
Educational estimate, current as of September 2026, using top-bracket simplifications: 20% federal long-term capital gains, 3.8% net investment income tax, 25% on depreciation recapture (unrecaptured section 1250 gain), and 13.3% California (12.3% top bracket plus the 1% mental health surcharge above $1 million; California taxes gains as ordinary income). Some farm assets (equipment, certain plantings) can be recaptured at ordinary federal rates instead; basis, income level, filing status, installment terms, and asset character all change the result. The 3 1/3% escrow withholding (Form 593) is a prepayment, not an additional tax, and can be reduced by election before close. This is not tax advice; your CPA's calculation controls. No strategy eliminates risk, and tax law can change.
How to read your results
Three things consistently surprise families at this table. First, the recapture: decades of depreciation on trees, vines, and irrigation come back at up to 25% federally in the year of sale, and it is often the piece nobody budgeted for. Second, California's share: the state taxes the entire gain as ordinary income, which for a large sale means the top of the bracket ladder, and there is no lower "capital gains rate" in Sacramento. Third, the escrow withholding: 3 1/3% of the gross price comes off the wire at closing unless an election is made beforehand, and on a $6 million sale that is $200,000 of cash flow decided by a form most sellers have never heard of. We cover that election in the withholding guide.
And the columns matter more than the first number. An outright sale answers "how much tax"; the exchange column answers "what if the money stayed invested"; the hold column answers "what if the land outlives the tax." The right answer is family-specific, which is precisely why we model all three, with your CPA's numbers, before anyone signs a listing agreement. Months before escrow is the ideal time; see The Cost of Waiting for what deferral of the decision itself costs.
Legacy Land Advisory
Want these numbers run properly, with your CPA in the room?
The estimator is arithmetic. The decision is not. We build the full three-column picture for your ground, coordinate it with your CPA and attorney, and get paid a flat fee either way, so the advice does not depend on which column you choose.
Working with a family as their attorney or CPA? Start here.
Important Disclosures
This page is an educational tool, not tax, legal, or investment advice, and its results are hypothetical illustrations. It applies top-bracket simplifications (20% federal long-term capital gains, 3.8% net investment income tax, up to 25% on unrecaptured section 1250 gain, and California's top rates of 12.3% plus the 1% mental health services surcharge above $1 million; California taxes capital gains as ordinary income) and does not model income phase-ins, alternative minimum tax, installment sales, partial-year issues, entity structures, or the ordinary-income recapture that can apply to certain farm assets. The 3 1/3% real estate withholding under Form 593 is a prepayment of California tax, adjustable by election before close. Figures current as of September 2026 and subject to change in law. Consult a qualified CPA and attorney; their calculations control.
Regulatory Disclosure: Avidity Capital Inc. is a California state-registered investment adviser (CRD# 312745). Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. For firm background information, visit adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/312745.
No Commission Disclosure: Avidity Capital Inc. is compensated solely by advisory fees paid directly by clients. The firm does not receive commissions, referral fees, or revenue-sharing payments from sponsors, issuers, or product providers.
